So much optimism, so much hope on the first day of the season, but realistically the Premiership Champions will come from the top 4 teams who have spent the most money. In the viz below, using data from the Tomkins Times Transfer Price Index, the expected position is based on club spend, and shows that 39 per cent of the time in the history of the Premier League, those who spend the most, will win the Premiership.
And using this criteria, of expected finish vs actual, check to see whether a past season was as good as you thought for your club?
And then see whether over the Premier League history your team has done better, or worse, than expected. For Newcastle fans it’s pretty much always the latter.